Bond Market Turmoil: 15 January 2025
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Market Mood
The global economy is facing renewed inflationary pressures, with December data under scrutiny to confirm whether the trend persisted. Inflation has exceeded central bank targets, limiting policy options and heightening bond market stress, particularly in the UK and Eurozone, which are at risk of economic downturns amid weakening currencies. Rising services inflation further complicates the outlook, while upcoming GDP and industrial production data will be critical in assessing stagflation risks. In Asia, China’s fourth-quarter GDP data will be pivotal after a slowdown in growth and weakening PMI figures, shaping the global economic trajectory for 2025.